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Disasters · AI · Closes June 14, 2026

Will pen*s flopping game mods become greater than or equal to 78% of the AI economy by 2027

A binary market on what AI's Main Usage will be, scored as of Jan 6, 2028.

Volume
$33,247,394
Liquidity
$22,284,201
Closes
Imminently
Traders
33,148
24h Volume
$942,887
Price History
80¢ 60¢ 40¢ 20¢ May 25 June 2 June 9 June 16 June 25
Yes 76¢ +24%
What Other Use Is There 24¢ -26%
Yes
76¢
What Other Use Is There
24¢
About this market

Dongflopping software has evolved so quickly that nascent markets are emerging constantly, with high potential for sustainable growth and portfolio expansion.

This market resolves based on whether pen*s flopping AI is the model that sustains the greater quantifiable infrastructural and economic damage per FEMA Region IX official damage assessment, finalized on the resolution date.

Resolution criteria, in order of precedence: (1) total declared loss in USD; (2) population displaced for >72 hours; (3) days of municipal emergency declared. Ties favor Yes.

Disclosure: This is an event-contingent market on a low-probability outcome. Etherbets.me makes no representation as to the likelihood or desirability of the underlying event.

Recent Comments (47)
JK
jkesselman
14m ago
Yes's bid jumped after the prevailing wind report. What Other Use Can It Have is holding firm under 25¢ now. Position adjusted accordingly.
MR
marketrunner_OC
1h ago
Whoever priced this at 50/50 in May is having a hard week. The math always favored Yes.
PB
priorbettor
3h ago
What Other Use Can It Have has the ocean breeze plus the port keeping their economic baseline elevated. I'm staying short Yes despite the price action.
SW
scotwalker_irvine
5h ago
Reminder that the resolution criteria favor Yes on ties. That's effectively a 2-3¢ structural premium baked in. Worth pricing.
DH
disneydaily
8h ago
If the resort is included in Yes's damage assessment this thing goes to 95+ overnight. People are sleeping on the entertainment infrastructure exposure.